Handicapping the 2011 Oscar Race for Best Picture is more of a challenge than in previous years. While everyone pretty much knew Titanic, just like Return of the King, the 2011 Best Picture Race is much tighter. The ten nominees represent an eclectic bunch to say the least, and while some have had mainstream success others are critically acclaimed works. That being said, here’s a look at the 2011 Best Picture Nominees and their odds of success, please note the odds are for entertainment only and represent a subjective look at the films:
The Kids are All Right
1500 to 1
While “The Kids are All Right” is probably one of the best live action comedy movies to come around in a long time, the chances of it taking home the Best Picture race are slim at best. This is a film that will likely get some love in the acting categories, but likely needs a miracle to get to the front of this ten horse race.
500 to 1
While “Winter’s Bone” had a hard gritty story and was a great movie, this may be one instance where being nominated was the award. The tale of self-reliance and desperation has many great performances but is probably a long shot at best.
250 to 1
“Black Swan” was a compelling story to say the least, but in essence lacks the overall zoom factor to get it to the top of the Oscar race for the best picture of the year. However, it may have enough sentimental support from Academy voters to have at least a glimmer of hope.
100 to 1
Offering a new take on a John Wayne classic is risky business, but “True Grit” succeeds with a number of great performances. On the backbone of those performances the film has a nice shot to play spoiler to some of the other big films of the year.
50 to 1
“127 Hours” is probably as real as it gets. Nothing says serious like cutting off your own to escape a dark fate, and Oscar loves characters that conquer adversity. The performance of James Franco could help this picture sneak in and take home the top prize, but will likely not make the grade.
Toy Story 3
50 to 1
The best movie villain of the year may have come out of the animated film “Toy Story 3.” However, the question is: Was this film good enough to be the first animated film to win best picture? In another year definitely, but as far as this year goes this is probably middle of the pack for the big prize, but will likely snag the Animated Film prize with ease.
30 to 1
“The Fighter” is an interesting movie for many reasons and several of those reasons are great turns and key performances by the actors and director. While this is another tale of conquering adversity, albeit in a different type of setting, Christian Bale’s performance gives “The Fighter” a chance to take home the statue.
3 to 1
A lot of folks walked out of “Inception” confused. While the concept of a dream within a dream within a dream, and so on, was a little hard for anyone to get their head around, the stunning special effects and likeable characters give this one a nudge in the right direction. Oscar voters might even have some love for Christopher Nolan after “The Dark Knight” failed even to be nominated, never count out a guilty conscience.
The King’s Speech
2 to 1
“The King’s Speech” has taken home just about every other award in the pre-Oscar shows, and should be considered a strong contender to take home the 2011 Best Picture award. However, fans have been fooled by pre-Oscar awards before which leaves:
The Social Network
1 to 1
“The Social Network” was a tremendous movie. The film was captivating from start to finish, and has several great performances to boot. Since the film has been an also ran in the awards shows leading up to the Oscars, it comes in as sort of a dark horse. Still, Hollywood loves an underdog story, and this could be the one that takes home the biggest prize of the year.